Tennis · resolved market
ITF Toyama: Cheuk Ying Shek vs Eva Marie Desvignes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9a3ed09e35100abc7a47f49e783e180a93b53f308e43c98a52188514029a1d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eva Marie Desvignesof Cheuk Ying Shek, Eva Marie Desvignes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 79c | 1,350$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 21c | 1,350$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 71c | 499.99$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.13 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 15c | 400$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 20c | 314.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.48 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 28c | 311.83$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.57 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 53c | 223.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.62 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 56c | 205.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 44c | 197.36$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.52 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 20c | 118.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 16c | 92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Cheuk Ying Shek | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…dd64backed Cheuk Ying Shek | 58c | 18.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.