Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9e23f6e971f6fa882edfbc33290ee5def2662f8bf72439c52b1b04d7da4bc1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchosof Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 55c | 2,883$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.15 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 45c | 1,493$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.22 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 45c | 870$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.5 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 44c | 719.43$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.77 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 61c | 500$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.69 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 39c | 470$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.02 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 59c | 353.73$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 56c | 353$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.61 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 41c | 328.73$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.95 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 16c | 292.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 47c | 224.95$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.37 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 62c | 140.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 46c | 95.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…63bfbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 58c | 86.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 43c | 49.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…503bbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 57c | 31.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchosthis page
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: O/U 141.5Under won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: O/U 142.5Under won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: O/U 143.5Under won
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: O/U 144.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.