CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PLD (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9efa3309bb03875372fbabaf2cc4e1e7a5fb901fb6efd90da896f3a8b41dd16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Peladonaof Peladona, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Peladona | 51c | 2,622$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.82 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked paiN Academy | 49c | 1,745$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.83 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Peladona | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…256ebacked paiN Academy | 49c | 704.53$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Peladona | 52c | 701.87$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.9 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed paiN Academy | 48c | 596.8$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.46 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Peladona | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed paiN Academy | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN Academy | 50c | 352$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed paiN Academy | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN Academy | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked paiN Academy | 49c | 284.04$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Peladona | 49c | 232.24$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.47 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed paiN Academy | 50c | 210.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed paiN Academy | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Peladona | 53c | 179.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked paiN Academy | 47c | 156.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed paiN Academy | 48c | 149.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed paiN Academy | 48c | 131.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed paiN Academy | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Peladona | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…9ef7backed paiN Academy | 48c | 107.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked paiN Academy | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed paiN Academy | 51c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Peladona | 52c | 93.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Peladona | 49c | 92.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Peladona | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked Peladona | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Peladona | 47c | 50.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked paiN Academy | 48c | 41.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Peladona | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed paiN Academy | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked paiN Academy | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed paiN Academy | 48c | 24.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PLD (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Peladona (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group StagePeladona won
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Peladona - Map 1 WinnerPeladona won
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Peladona - Map 2 WinnerPeladona won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.