TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Peladona - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Peladonaof paiN Academy, Peladona
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,400 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a40…840ebacked paiN Academy21c32,573$6,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,898.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked paiN Academy0c21,776$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.899748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd403…a817backed Peladona60c3,000$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Peladona43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4252,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN Academy40c1,774$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.47,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…2193backed Peladona30c1,667$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9774…3497backed Peladona30c1,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0501100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Peladona58c1,256$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.4417759.9%106 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed paiN Academy36c1,251$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.2240264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5848…c77fbacked Peladona30c1,105$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked paiN Academy68c858$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58316248.1%78 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed paiN Academy32c739.32$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.8228843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Peladona77c638$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.882,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aad…1155backed Peladona34c588.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd647…08a5backed Peladona34c588.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.23540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked paiN Academy32c544.01$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.53,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Peladona63c515.5$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0320447.1%96 W · 108 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Peladona64c481$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8680942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Peladona67c445.96$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.215,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked Peladona68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.185172.5%37 W · 14 L+7.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd7af…f22ebacked paiN Academy43c437.74$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.661861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed paiN Academy20c400$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6233146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Peladona64c400$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.582,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Peladona43c386.57$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.5713351.1%68 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed paiN Academy14c365.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4519035.8%68 W · 122 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Peladona71c305$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2541475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3b…9f07backed paiN Academy37c299.14$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d7…488cbacked Peladona41c241.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.271030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed paiN Academy35c220.83$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.634,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Peladona79c214.85$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.643,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2cce…2ff1backed Peladona48c210.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.041747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Peladona68c199.75$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.461,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked paiN Academy41c185$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8520755.1%114 W · 93 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2bb…bd8ebacked paiN Academy39c183.87$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9119236.5%70 W · 122 L-15.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Peladona62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2938469.5%267 W · 117 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked paiN Academy44c153.46$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.944,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed paiN Academy29c150.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7857641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed paiN Academy32c150.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3151348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Peladona51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.935,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Peladona62c149.45$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1975245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Peladona55c146.2$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.872,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked paiN Academy27c137$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.892,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Peladona66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.221,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Peladona72c112.65$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.62,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Peladona48c105.57$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0418549.2%91 W · 94 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Peladona65c100.03$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.251,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad57…c5fdbacked Peladona43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.84553.3%24 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24cc…0927backed Peladona72c93.33$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4713254.5%72 W · 60 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked paiN Academy33c92.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.284,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed paiN Academy44c89.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.749850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Peladona54c84.63$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7237057%211 W · 159 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e9…2a7fbacked paiN Academy30c83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.91435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Peladona67c82$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.962,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bf1…3db0backed Peladona38c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked paiN Academy41c76.34$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.314544.8%65 W · 80 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x975d…cc7abacked paiN Academy25c69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.29728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4c…2200backed paiN Academy66c65.32$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765d…610bbacked Peladona51c60.48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.45875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe63…2de4backed Peladona53c55.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2711358.4%66 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Peladona70c54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.131,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Peladona68c52.56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.564271.4%30 W · 12 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+22.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed Peladona67c52.23$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2441372.2%298 W · 115 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Peladona35c48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Peladona57c46.87$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.362,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df0…95b3backed Peladona57c45.64$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6313871%98 W · 40 L+15.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7442…38b7backed paiN Academy48c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.63855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed Peladona57c43.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8628761.3%176 W · 111 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Peladona62c43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.342,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9133…20acbacked paiN Academy44c42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.482462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Peladona65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1461948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed paiN Academy28c38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.641,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Peladona42c33.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3611221.4%24 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN Academy44c30.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.355,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Peladona50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1512348.8%60 W · 63 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed Peladona66c28.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6710452.9%55 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed Peladona68c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921650.5%109 W · 107 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x104b…e9cebacked Peladona72c27.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7818481.5%150 W · 34 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick74cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Peladona60c27.17$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8760954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Peladona70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.510129.7%30 W · 71 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked Peladona68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0611761.5%72 W · 45 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eba…ec71backed Peladona78c14.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.