CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Peladona - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x218b2b795f77619d466c3810bcf86e0ea5f6a70b58b23a2306cd5538944e82dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Peladonaof paiN Academy, Peladona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd619…c461backed paiN Academy | 32c | 713.24$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.74 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Peladona | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Peladona | 73c | 292.64$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed paiN Academy | 27c | 292$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Peladona | 67c | 260$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Peladona | 66c | 239.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked paiN Academy | 38c | 206.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked paiN Academy | 27c | 183.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Peladona | 74c | 168$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Peladona | 77c | 143.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed paiN Academy | 18c | 91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked paiN Academy | 25c | 86.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Peladona | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed paiN Academy | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Peladona | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed paiN Academy | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed paiN Academy | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Peladona | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed paiN Academy | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked paiN Academy | 29c | 38.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Peladona | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed paiN Academy | 36c | 29.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Peladona | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Peladona | 67c | 25.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Peladona | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa50a…4e2ebacked Peladona | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Peladona - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Peladona (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group StagePeladona won
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Peladona - Map 2 WinnerPeladona won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PLD (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)Peladona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.