Lol · resolved market
LoL: ZennIT vs Dynasty - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca189ac1172c294a1f2017adbf52380c0e588105ac9903b0814fe16212f3c5df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dynastyof ZennIT, Dynasty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed ZennIT | 24c | 4,444$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dynasty | 76c | 1,330$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.38 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Dynasty | 76c | 1,121$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.08 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Dynasty | 76c | 1,020$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.71 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dynasty | 76c | 654.31$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.71 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Dynasty | 76c | 253.2$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Dynasty | 72c | 209.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Dynasty | 61c | 164.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked ZennIT | 34c | 121$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed ZennIT | 23c | 117.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ZennIT | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed ZennIT | 50c | 99.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 635 | 40.2%255 W · 380 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Dynasty | 76c | 84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed ZennIT | 45c | 69.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Dynasty | 55c | 63.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 1,012 | 47%476 W · 536 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Dynasty | 72c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Dynasty | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ZennIT | 45c | 45.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Dynasty | 71c | 38.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Dynasty | 73c | 28.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Dynasty | 71c | 20.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Dynasty | 72c | 15.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Dynasty | 72c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dynasty | 76c | 13.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ZennIT vs Dynasty - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: ZennIT vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasonDynasty won
- LoL: ZennIT vs Dynasty - Game 1 WinnerDynasty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.