Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Chase Ferguson vs Fanming Meng
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca364a53ffd7f4b0f59047faf26e1112ca8101cc4173aa843bbb9a06cb0c17b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fanming Mengof Chase Ferguson, Fanming Meng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Fanming Meng | 73c | 1,941$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.49 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chase Ferguson | 20c | 1,219$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.19 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Chase Ferguson | 28c | 911.63$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chase Ferguson | 30c | 502.26$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Fanming Meng | 41c | 375.2$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Chase Ferguson | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Fanming Meng | 77c | 305.25$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Chase Ferguson | 26c | 252.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chase Ferguson | 54c | 243.35$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Chase Ferguson | 27c | 202.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Fanming Meng | 59c | 185.57$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 154 | 40.9%63 W · 91 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chase Ferguson | 30c | 183.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Chase Ferguson | 27c | 160$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chase Ferguson | 50c | 119.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Chase Ferguson | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Chase Ferguson | 27c | 95.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Fanming Meng | 76c | 86.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Fanming Meng | 46c | 46.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 202 | 70.8%143 W · 59 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Fanming Meng | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Fanming Meng | 62c | 39.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Fanming Meng | 59c | 22.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.