Tennis · resolved market
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Max Wiskandt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca3789eb68a342fc43fff38e82dfcc4fd891412dce7e8ae863ad6b533e0b2089
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diego Dedura-Palomeroof Diego Dedura-Palomero, Max Wiskandt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 71c | 5,966$4,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Max Wiskandt | 30c | 3,456$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.83 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Max Wiskandt | 25c | 3,051$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.25 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Max Wiskandt | 29c | 2,387$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.39 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 75c | 1,644$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.76 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Max Wiskandt | 22c | 1,362$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.52 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 75c | 1,224$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Max Wiskandt | 10c | 1,069$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Max Wiskandt | 21c | 1,042$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.85 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 79c | 919.57$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.11 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…64e5backed Max Wiskandt | 2c | 822.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Max Wiskandt | 2c | 650$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 366 | 61.7%226 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 79c | 640.22$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.03 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Max Wiskandt | 6c | 529$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Max Wiskandt | 8c | 404.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 74c | 375.2$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Max Wiskandt | 7c | 280$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Max Wiskandt | 12c | 268.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Max Wiskandt | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Max Wiskandt | 8c | 235$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Max Wiskandt | 23c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Max Wiskandt | 27c | 160.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 76c | 147.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 72c | 129.57$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 79c | 126.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Max Wiskandt | 29c | 125.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 73c | 123.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 80c | 105$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Max Wiskandt | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Max Wiskandt | 28c | 68.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Max Wiskandt | 21c | 66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Max Wiskandt | 20c | 64.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Max Wiskandt | 28c | 53.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Max Wiskandt | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Max Wiskandt | 29c | 38.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 73c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 69c | 23.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 79c | 15.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…808fbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 77c | 14.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…8a59backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.