Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca616baff38ba8b24d6496de087a3a7990feffa48468316f0cefd83195dffabe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 5c | 8,956$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.33 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 9c | 6,485$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.16 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 7c | 3,363$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.81 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed No | 9c | 2,198$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked No | 12c | 1,458$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.71 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 9c | 1,144$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 9c | 565.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed No | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 13c | 424.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 12c | 351$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 18c | 252.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd5…ecbebacked No | 10c | 148.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 17c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 17c | 91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 12c | 83.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will FC Nordsjælland vs. KF Valur end in a draw?No won
- Will KF Valur win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.