Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Heerenveen vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca8450fc852e2f57c8d90bdf6a4746a6a3bc13374c5b84db4c5ba2bb456b5480
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 35c | 1,406$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.27 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 28c | 1,249$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.12 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 65c | 415.38$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 236.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 65c | 152.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 65c | 138.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 35c | 106.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 65c | 44.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 35c | 41.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…402bbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4d…1f43backed Under | 36c | 28.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 38c | 27.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…1c78backed Over | 64c | 23.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 64c | 23.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…33d8backed Over | 65c | 15.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Heerenveen vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Heerenveen vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Heerenveen vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Heerenveen vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Heerenveen vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.