CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - Aorus League Brazil Online Stage Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcadf02b4c9294ff6d7a90e2e226da197072a8fba3e4c082754b49365e9a466fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crashersof Crashers, BESTIA Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,442 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35f…bc3dbacked BESTIA Academy | 0c | 4,655$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA Academy | 51c | 223.36$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Crashers | 67c | 209.79$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0358…30e2backed BESTIA Academy | 66c | 150.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed Crashers | 64c | 125.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked BESTIA Academy | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed BESTIA Academy | 63c | 95.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked BESTIA Academy | 42c | 80.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Crashers | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 548 | 39.8%218 W · 330 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe437…2355backed BESTIA Academy | 46c | 65.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd531…f32bbacked BESTIA Academy | 49c | 51.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked BESTIA Academy | 50c | 50.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Crashers | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed BESTIA Academy | 39c | 46.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Crashers | 45c | 45.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Crashers | 59c | 40.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Crashers | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked BESTIA Academy | 50c | 39.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed BESTIA Academy | 41c | 33.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 388 | 39.4%153 W · 235 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…eab3backed Crashers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Crashers | 50c | 30.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed BESTIA Academy | 40c | 28.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0214…9059backed Crashers | 54c | 27.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d2…118bbacked Crashers | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BESTIA Academy | 55c | 21.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…3e35backed Crashers | 59c | 19.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.