Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb53890c360b11258da780276192b1fb9bd174810ebc58894f53c5482fa5f5b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim Esports Academyof Nongshim Esports Academy, Weibo Gaming Youth Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Weibo Gaming Youth Team | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Weibo Gaming Youth Team | 23c | 1,206$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…10fdbacked Weibo Gaming Youth Team | 18c | 1,038$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.46 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 71c | 830.17$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.44 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Weibo Gaming Youth Team | 31c | 802.19$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 70c | 627.19$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.3 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Weibo Gaming Youth Team | 25c | 404.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Weibo Gaming Youth Team | 16c | 331.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Weibo Gaming Youth Team | 10c | 208.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Nongshim Esports Academy | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Weibo Gaming Youth Team | 13c | 193.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Weibo Gaming Youth Team | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Weibo Gaming Youth Team | 20c | 120.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Weibo Gaming Youth Team | 17c | 102.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Weibo Gaming Youth Team | 31c | 85.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nongshim Esports Academy | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nongshim Esports Academy | 70c | 24.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (BO3) - Asia Masters Group CNongshim Esports Academy won
- LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Esports Academy won
- LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Esports Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.