Tennis · resolved market
ITF Huamantla: Marco Alvarez vs Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb5a89a14075b549d58a367b483395cb10c0dc795e2d8a34060e9c394445dea0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alvin Nicholas Tudoricaof Marco Alvarez, Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Marco Alvarez | 1c | 4,756$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marco Alvarez | 43c | 3,441$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.76 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | 55c | 2,570$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.93 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | 57c | 812.28$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.28 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marco Alvarez | 26c | 215.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | 57c | 205$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marco Alvarez | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Marco Alvarez | 16c | 102$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | 56c | 98.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | 75c | 69.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…a690backed Marco Alvarez | 25c | 54.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Marco Alvarez | 34c | 40.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | 56c | 39.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.