MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb6e3ffcb0589308385069a82b1dd4e37fabc87e01d9b15c3d5244df3e13b96d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Colorado Rockies, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,827 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 501.28$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.48 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Colorado Rockies | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Colorado Rockies | 27c | 360.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Kansas City Royals | 12c | 294.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.21 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 282$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas City Royals | 72c | 248.89$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Colorado Rockies | 8c | 156$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado Rockies | 40c | 105.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado Rockies | 29c | 92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 91.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Colorado Rockies | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 66.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Colorado Rockies | 43c | 49.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 49.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Colorado Rockies | 28c | 48.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Kansas City Royals | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Kansas City Royals | 77c | 18.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.