Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Randers FC win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbd7e8f7b94058b9d660d1ca0689b6142a907a0ad7b4578a53a52a0e1c1766cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 1,362$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 1,221$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 439.47$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 384$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.18 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 262.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 73c | 210.96$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 159.35$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 28c | 115.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 28c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…5c1cbacked No | 71c | 35.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e0…beecbacked No | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Randers FC win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
- Will Randers FC vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.