Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc0e86da12586150693619bbd44308fd8f4138e8463f029fbedf2a3cca40ceb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royal Challengers Bangaloreof Royal Challengers Bangalore, Mumbai Indians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 5c | 2,052$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.44 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…671abacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 399.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.94 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2c…e2fdbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 395.8$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 342.41$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.78 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 49c | 340.46$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.64 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd841…64cabacked Mumbai Indians | 51c | 294.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…3275backed Mumbai Indians | 49c | 290.88$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.53 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…aca9backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f3…350bbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 7c | 222$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…f6a9backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Mumbai Indians | 48c | 90.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…7804backed Mumbai Indians | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…4665backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 80.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Mumbai Indians | 71c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8275…a9aebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78a…5085backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…4f07backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9af1…df2cbacked Mumbai Indians | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x799a…f4d0backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 46.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…0a13backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 42.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Mumbai Indians | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Mumbai Indians | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Mumbai Indians | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +8.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Mumbai Indians | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Mumbai Indians | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62be…2175backed Mumbai Indians | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7146backed Mumbai Indians | 71c | 39.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +163.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b48…3561backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 33.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…5750backed Mumbai Indians | 51c | 28.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9a…b45bbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Mumbai Indians | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecdd…abbbbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e3…f804backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df3…c95cbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai IndiansRoyal Challengers Bangalore won
- Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians - Completed match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.