Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Bondar (-1.5) vs Korpatsch (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc1958e3e3d2759399e02db1a45c3c105864ecf2ceb3362216a15ddc6fd3c830
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Korpatschof Bondar, Korpatsch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Bondar | 31c | 2,015$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.53 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…823abacked Korpatsch | 69c | 1,800$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Korpatsch | 68c | 1,200$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.9 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Bondar | 36c | 899.93$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.19 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Bondar | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Bondar | 32c | 490.1$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.83 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Korpatsch | 67c | 401.51$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Korpatsch | 69c | 368.13$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Bondar | 31c | 240.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bondar | 32c | 165.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Bondar | 33c | 91.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Korpatsch | 64c | 90.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Korpatsch | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Korpatsch | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Korpatsch | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Korpatsch | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bondar | 30c | 71.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Korpatsch | 68c | 69.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Korpatsch | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Bondar | 34c | 59.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Korpatsch | 63c | 52.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Korpatsch | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Korpatsch | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46d…ebbdbacked Korpatsch | 69c | 40.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Korpatsch | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Bondar | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Korpatsch | 64c | 25.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed Korpatsch | 67c | 24.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Korpatsch | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Korpatsch | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Korpatsch | 64c | 22.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Korpatsch | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Bondar (-1.5) vs Korpatsch (+1.5)this page
- Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara KorpatschTamara Korpatsch won
- Set 1 Winner: Bondar vs KorpatschKorpatsch won
- Set 2 Winner: Bondar vs KorpatschKorpatsch won
- Set Handicap: Korpatsch (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5)Korpatsch won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.