Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Medjedovic (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc208741e20c5fedfde15c2490d0ef4bbfa025b960718c2299914c0dd0d44d08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Landaluceof Medjedovic, Landaluce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f75…af7ebacked Landaluce | 63c | 7,945$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.48 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Medjedovic | 37c | 5,618$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.46 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Landaluce | 62c | 3,203$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.06 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Medjedovic | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Medjedovic | 37c | 1,563$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.58 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Landaluce | 63c | 946$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.02 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Medjedovic | 42c | 484.82$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.29 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Medjedovic | 39c | 457$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.23 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Medjedovic | 38c | 421$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Medjedovic | 39c | 400$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Landaluce | 60c | 379.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Medjedovic | 37c | 215$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Medjedovic | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Landaluce | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Medjedovic | 39c | 96.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Medjedovic | 40c | 91.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Landaluce | 62c | 89.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…a9d1backed Medjedovic | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Medjedovic | 39c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe321…b456backed Medjedovic | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…9317backed Landaluce | 59c | 42.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Landaluce | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Medjedovic | 39c | 34.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Medjedovic | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…05d8backed Medjedovic | 41c | 24.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…9c16backed Landaluce | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Medjedovic (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)this page
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin LandaluceMartin Landaluce won
- Medjedovic vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Medjedovic vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Medjedovic vs LandaluceLandaluce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.