CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc3feec26a28f7f6e3c779d392aa5720462bb907428db9c033ffe0895ccff6e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 5Actorsof SPARTA, 5Actors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,244 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5407…251cbacked SPARTA | 50c | 4,049$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.5 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 5Actors | 46c | 3,663$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.66 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked SPARTA | 55c | 3,461$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.72 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed 5Actors | 50c | 1,741$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.61 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed SPARTA | 61c | 1,548$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.08 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…6cdbbacked 5Actors | 48c | 1,256$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked SPARTA | 54c | 1,134$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.39 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 5Actors | 50c | 938.13$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked 5Actors | 40c | 749.69$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.47 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked SPARTA | 40c | 715.57$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.76 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked 5Actors | 48c | 681.87$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.46 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked 5Actors | 52c | 424$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed 5Actors | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed SPARTA | 55c | 359.7$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.31 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked 5Actors | 49c | 354$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed 5Actors | 45c | 333.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed 5Actors | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed 5Actors | 45c | 228.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed 5Actors | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed SPARTA | 55c | 204.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…e6d7backed 5Actors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed 5Actors | 45c | 185$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568c…fbd0backed SPARTA | 64c | 178.37$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed SPARTA | 54c | 152.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed 5Actors | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…7b51backed 5Actors | 45c | 149.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed 5Actors | 49c | 122.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed 5Actors | 50c | 114.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…9da8backed 5Actors | 39c | 102$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed 5Actors | 45c | 93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…d65bbacked 5Actors | 64c | 90.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed 5Actors | 34c | 88.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +48%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc38…bfd8backed 5Actors | 49c | 80.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed SPARTA | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed 5Actors | 49c | 64.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed 5Actors | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -15.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked SPARTA | 55c | 55.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked SPARTA | 58c | 54.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…174fbacked 5Actors | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed 5Actors | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54b…8f61backed SPARTA | 55c | 44.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed SPARTA | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked SPARTA | 55c | 39.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked 5Actors | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…4761backed 5Actors | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed 5Actors | 44c | 23.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs 5Actors - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs 5Actors - Map 2 Winner5Actors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.