CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc62653337f29cd5152c20bee1d302ef3eb6e9203ac5b2a91920f86c68374128
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof CYBERSHOKE Esports, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 964.95$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.55 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 806$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.61 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 659.98$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.39 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 433.48$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.72 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 39c | 350.3$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 31c | 332.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 37c | 329.24$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 39c | 288.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 41c | 282.04$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.41 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 48c | 209.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 193.95$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 179.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…456fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 28c | 85.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 125 | 68.8%86 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 22c | 76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 44c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.