Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc767f64c0cb8a8ae3d54cf8acdac4559c4f17727374aebb8de2caf0edab0a23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tienof Tsitsipas, Tien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tsitsipas | 38c | 2,033$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.73 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Tien | 61c | 1,594$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.97 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Tien | 62c | 1,587$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.66 | 526 | 61.2%322 W · 204 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tsitsipas | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tsitsipas | 39c | 449$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.11 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Tien | 62c | 389.79$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Tien | 60c | 250.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Tsitsipas | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Tsitsipas | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Tien | 57c | 79.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Tsitsipas | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Tsitsipas | 42c | 40.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Tsitsipas | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Tsitsipas | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Tsitsipas | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Tien | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Tsitsipas | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tien | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Tsitsipas | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tien | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)this page
- Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner TienLearner Tien won
- Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs TienTien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.