TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Lipscomb Bisons (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Lipscomb Bisonsof Lipscomb Bisons, Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,151

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,151 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf1f4…544cbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles54c26,877$14,423 inLost-$14,422.865248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lipscomb Bisons46c12,500$5,750 inWon+$6,75090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Lipscomb Bisons47c5,000$2,350 inWon+$2,65035452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Lipscomb Bisons46c3,474$1,598 inWon+$1,876.0812358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lipscomb Bisons50c2,650$1,319 inWon+$1,330.7912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Lipscomb Bisons47c2,500$1,175 inWon+$1,3256758.2%39 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles49c2,156$1,046 inLost-$1,045.624451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Lipscomb Bisons46c1,109$510 inWon+$598.713247%62 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Lipscomb Bisons47c1,060$498 inWon+$561.832751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lipscomb Bisons50c433.6$216 inWon+$217.764,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Lipscomb Bisons51c117.64$60 inWon+$57.644,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Lipscomb Bisons47c63.83$30 inWon+$33.8317661.4%108 W · 68 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Lipscomb Bisons47c49.5$23 inWon+$26.2421059.5%125 W · 85 L+17.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Lipscomb Bisons47c27.66$13 inWon+$14.6610058%58 W · 42 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.