Fifa International · resolved market
Will Slovakia win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccef45046ea14db7e7c75dc4bca008fab053732e0e8c6a52a1fe499f2f0d4cec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 2,301$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.69 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 1,527$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.39 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,480$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.89 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 7c | 1,078$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 936.1$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.58 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 5c | 870.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 68c | 735.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.39 | 122 | 66.4%81 W · 41 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 68c | 735.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.39 | 111 | 67.6%75 W · 36 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 14c | 696.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 68c | 649.06$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.7 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +15.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 44c | 351.74$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.98 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 344.93$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 56c | 339.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.38 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…2d85backed Yes | 71c | 333.31$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 331.42$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Yes | 44c | 226.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Yes | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 69c | 190.65$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed No | 7c | 177.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 157.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 56c | 149.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Yes | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 57c | 128.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…68e1backed Yes | 45c | 109.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 33c | 102.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 47c | 95.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 43c | 92.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 68c | 86.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 28c | 82.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 57c | 59.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 70c | 56.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 55.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…00afbacked Yes | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 71c | 42.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 70c | 42.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 28c | 36.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed Yes | 45c | 32.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 57c | 26.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 73c | 26.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 67c | 16.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Yes | 67c | 16.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 67c | 16.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Slovakia win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Romania win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Slovakia vs. Romania end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.