CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd5a569653f91e2ff478ad9577be413903e7ef5d1cbbd45bdf4580a94c2360e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Fluxo W7M | 10c | 3,809$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.57 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Fluxo W7M | 3c | 3,145$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Fluxo W7M | 13c | 1,640$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.72 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Fluxo W7M | 13c | 1,473$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.63 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Fluxo W7M | 13c | 961.32$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fluxo W7M | 11c | 909.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…0880backed Fluxo W7M | 13c | 825.21$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab06…3617backed Fluxo W7M | 6c | 382$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fluxo W7M | 10c | 376.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Fluxo W7M | 14c | 246.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Fluxo W7M | 14c | 219.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Fluxo W7M | 14c | 219.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Fluxo W7M | 15c | 154.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b6…a4c5backed Fluxo W7M | 11c | 146.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Fluxo W7M | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Fluxo W7M | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fluxo W7M | 13c | 96.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fluxo W7M | 13c | 85.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.