La Liga · resolved market
Real Zaragoza vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd6e4f33715f398171c15c7dd3f681b00f93db322d10eb3f48824f3b8b34d45d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 47c | 4,881$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 2,098$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.74 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 1,945$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.54 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 1,621$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.39 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 672.48$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.47 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 530.07$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.48 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 56c | 510$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 47c | 445.04$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.05 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 414.26$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 280.55$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 199$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 172.07$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 161.37$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.01 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 54c | 107$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 56c | 103.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 46c | 86.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 65c | 65.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 68c | 46.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 64c | 28.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 45c | 24.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Under | 58c | 24.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Zaragoza vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Zaragoza vs. Granada CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Granada CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Granada CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Granada CF (-1.5)Real Zaragoza won
- Spread: Real Zaragoza (-1.5)Granada CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.