CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd7963b6d3fc1b77bf2c2d7d7a89b46eee476dcb17c4f04731a34ec2ddeba569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,458 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lavked | 76c | 1,666$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.54 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Hashiras | 26c | 1,301$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.12 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Hashiras | 43c | 1,100$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.99 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lavked | 63c | 925.87$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.85 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hashiras | 37c | 886.22$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.76 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 22c | 852.56$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.34 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa0…c3acbacked Hashiras | 12c | 825.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lavked | 74c | 765.15$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.86 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Hashiras | 41c | 529$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.85 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lavked | 73c | 510.18$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Lavked | 68c | 439.3$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.62 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Lavked | 59c | 402$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.31 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lavked | 59c | 235.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Lavked | 57c | 191.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 75c | 163$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lavked | 74c | 133.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Hashiras | 40c | 130.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Lavked | 71c | 92.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Hashiras | 41c | 61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lavked | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed Lavked | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Lavked | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ce…7824backed Lavked | 72c | 15.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group StageLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.