CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1027184723538c619f812051d3ad16d213623ae2da073443491e1bfafabc431d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,266 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lavked | 63c | 3,925$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.36 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lavked | 74c | 1,380$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.08 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Hashiras | 36c | 1,209$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.2 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Hashiras | 32c | 1,183$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.27 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hashiras | 37c | 941.99$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.54 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 23c | 894.45$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.47 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed Lavked | 61c | 891.93$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Hashiras | 16c | 798.12$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.58 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Hashiras | 39c | 656$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.87 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Lavked | 63c | 632$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.16 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Hashiras | 22c | 629$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Hashiras | 37c | 522.13$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.19 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Lavked | 80c | 500.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Hashiras | 38c | 440$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Hashiras | 37c | 379.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.41 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hashiras | 37c | 359.75$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.62 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Hashiras | 19c | 298.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Hashiras | 34c | 295.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Hashiras | 38c | 241$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Hashiras | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f2…687cbacked Hashiras | 15c | 176$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hashiras | 20c | 158.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…cd54backed Lavked | 80c | 148.77$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Lavked | 63c | 146.03$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hashiras | 19c | 141.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xedf2…5b4dbacked Hashiras | 38c | 138$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Lavked | 63c | 132.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 217 | 52.5%114 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Hashiras | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…5e77backed Hashiras | 38c | 127$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…af50backed Hashiras | 38c | 125$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lavked | 70c | 123.64$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Hashiras | 23c | 117.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Lavked | 62c | 112.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Lavked | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Hashiras | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed Hashiras | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Hashiras | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Hashiras | 34c | 89.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Hashiras | 39c | 87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Hashiras | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56c…2c11backed Hashiras | 19c | 78.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Hashiras | 30c | 64.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…aee6backed Lavked | 62c | 62.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c6…9565backed Lavked | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hashiras | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8870…5b95backed Lavked | 62c | 57.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Lavked | 65c | 55.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Lavked | 63c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Hashiras | 38c | 52.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Hashiras | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Hashiras | 33c | 49.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…09f5backed Lavked | 62c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…52babacked Lavked | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0429…e99dbacked Lavked | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Lavked | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Hashiras | 37c | 39.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Lavked | 65c | 34.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Lavked | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…5bfcbacked Lavked | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Lavked | 62c | 31.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Hashiras | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Hashiras | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0d…a09abacked Lavked | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Lavked | 78c | 25.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked Lavked | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed Lavked | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lavked | 67c | 22.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…b607backed Lavked | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Lavked | 62c | 20.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Lavked | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Lavked | 62c | 19.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Lavked | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked Lavked | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed33…9076backed Lavked | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Hashiras - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.