Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rochester: Alexander Bernard vs Ilija Palavestra
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd7bec06d0b512b380fddc7139b0fdfed1d8f9c66edda70fed76d1099a162c09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexander Bernardof Alexander Bernard, Ilija Palavestra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507c…85efbacked Ilija Palavestra | 44c | 42,286$18,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,674.74 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alexander Bernard | 59c | 24,436$14,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,015.89 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alexander Bernard | 58c | 16,069$9,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,712.98 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked Alexander Bernard | 2c | 2,056$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.61 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alexander Bernard | 56c | 1,522$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.65 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexander Bernard | 54c | 810.6$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.15 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Ilija Palavestra | 40c | 728.46$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.69 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Ilija Palavestra | 57c | 621.24$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.25 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Alexander Bernard | 55c | 430$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.4 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Alexander Bernard | 63c | 275.46$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ilija Palavestra | 49c | 251.02$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Alexander Bernard | 61c | 234.89$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Alexander Bernard | 73c | 224.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Alexander Bernard | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ilija Palavestra | 46c | 156.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Alexander Bernard | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Alexander Bernard | 66c | 91.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Alexander Bernard | 54c | 64.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Alexander Bernard | 59c | 58.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alexander Bernard | 57c | 36.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Ilija Palavestra | 39c | 25.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Alexander Bernard | 62c | 22.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Ilija Palavestra | 49c | 21.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…47f5backed Alexander Bernard | 61c | 21.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Alexander Bernard | 61c | 16.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.