CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd979dae2877e923bafc7ea8b609e60ae0ccb9a496f75a140fe1023b5973f890
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- illwillof illwill, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 1c | 1,637$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill | 75c | 1,394$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.3 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 21c | 1,063$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked illwill | 80c | 804.8$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.18 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 23c | 754.69$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.27 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 20c | 598.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.79 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill | 77c | 509.37$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 25c | 200.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 20c | 183.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 29c | 177.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 25c | 142.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked illwill | 71c | 98.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 26c | 86.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked illwill | 79c | 54.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 26c | 53.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 30c | 39.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked illwill | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed illwill | 71c | 18.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerillwill won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerillwill won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.