Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdd88ce043c311ee9545fac9a56c8ef8477b0e4b28e98f95e783928e1267f49f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&M Aggiesof Georgia Bulldogs, Texas A&M Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texas A&M Aggies | 48c | 9,784$4,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,088.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Georgia Bulldogs | 52c | 4,113$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.32 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Georgia Bulldogs | 52c | 3,325$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 52c | 2,570$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 53c | 680$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.4 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 49c | 593.85$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.36 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Georgia Bulldogs | 51c | 593.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 46c | 271.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas A&M Aggies | 46c | 230.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.35 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas A&M Aggies | 56c | 219.01$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Texas A&M Aggies | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Texas A&M Aggies | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81eb…7d8dbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 54c | 122.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Texas A&M Aggies | 47c | 110.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Texas A&M Aggies | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Georgia Bulldogs | 52c | 52.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Georgia Bulldogs | 52c | 45.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Georgia Bulldogs | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f22…3f6cbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 51c | 24.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Texas A&M Aggies | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Georgia Bulldogs | 52c | 19.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-4.5)Texas A&M Aggies won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Georgia BulldogsTexas A&M Aggies won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 171.5Under won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 172.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.