NHL · resolved market
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Avangard Omsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce2b1385360e81d05fc3cd1112a95af855574b9cfd95440f54238e1647991e0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgof Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg, Avangard Omsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x803f…65ecbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 46c | 2,611$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…2a2dbacked Avangard Omsk | 54c | 2,611$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 45c | 1,999$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.3 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Avangard Omsk | 56c | 1,528$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.79 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.97 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Avangard Omsk | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Avangard Omsk | 57c | 848.93$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…ac47backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 46c | 567.2$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 563.64$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Avangard Omsk | 57c | 440.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Avangard Omsk | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Avangard Omsk | 55c | 263.64$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 79c | 242.15$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Avangard Omsk | 22c | 234.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 43c | 215.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.81 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 45c | 168.24$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 43c | 164.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 44c | 115$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Avangard Omsk | 27c | 89.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 44c | 73.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…6179backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 45c | 67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Avangard Omsk | 55c | 59.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 70c | 53.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Avangard Omsk | 41c | 45.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 67c | 42.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8debbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 46c | 40.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 76c | 22.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Avangard Omsk | 54c | 21.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 78c | 13.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.