Lol · resolved market
LoL: Myth Esports vs mCon esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce70e0978ebe513c5fa9f87cdb8f9affa3bf07e52e89883e579a262856d363d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Myth Esportsof Myth Esports, mCon esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c0…e618backed mCon esports | 65c | 2,454$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.76 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Myth Esports | 34c | 1,853$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.06 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Myth Esports | 39c | 976.17$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.48 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed mCon esports | 26c | 625.85$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.05 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Myth Esports | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed mCon esports | 77c | 475$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.45 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed mCon esports | 47c | 404$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.57 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Myth Esports | 22c | 395$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.05 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed mCon esports | 53c | 394.92$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.67 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Myth Esports | 44c | 327.32$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.73 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Myth Esports | 54c | 255.45$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked mCon esports | 79c | 221.35$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.21 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Myth Esports | 35c | 201.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Myth Esports | 36c | 113.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 304 | 41.8%127 W · 177 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed mCon esports | 63c | 97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked mCon esports | 47c | 82.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Myth Esports | 20c | 75.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Myth Esports | 36c | 72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed mCon esports | 73c | 70.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Myth Esports | 36c | 67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Myth Esports | 27c | 62.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed mCon esports | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked mCon esports | 66c | 45.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed mCon esports | 74c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked Myth Esports | 32c | 35.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed mCon esports | 57c | 25.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Myth Esports vs mCon esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Myth Esports vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasonMyth Esports won
- LoL: Myth Esports vs mCon esports - Game 2 WinnermCon esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.