College Football · resolved market
Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcef99543cb240fc0957f8ddfb9726f056b5e0f497019c74f3e4dda58880b8e8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Kentuckyof Middle Tennessee, Western Kentucky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Middle Tennessee | 16c | 15,322$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.49 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Middle Tennessee | 17c | 5,212$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Middle Tennessee | 13c | 4,084$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.9 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Middle Tennessee | 17c | 3,882$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.01 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Middle Tennessee | 17c | 3,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Middle Tennessee | 7c | 2,610$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Middle Tennessee | 19c | 1,800$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.56 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Middle Tennessee | 17c | 1,260$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.21 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Middle Tennessee | 18c | 1,200$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.03 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Middle Tennessee | 17c | 1,044$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.83 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Middle Tennessee | 17c | 1,021$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.56 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Middle Tennessee | 12c | 1,008$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.42 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Middle Tennessee | 14c | 864.45$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Middle Tennessee | 15c | 600.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Middle Tennessee | 13c | 405.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Middle Tennessee | 18c | 399.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Middle Tennessee | 15c | 299$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Middle Tennessee | 10c | 298.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Middle Tennessee | 18c | 293.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Middle Tennessee | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Middle Tennessee | 13c | 160$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Middle Tennessee | 17c | 151.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Middle Tennessee | 18c | 149.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Middle Tennessee | 19c | 120.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Middle Tennessee | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Middle Tennessee | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Middle Tennessee | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Middle Tennessee | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Middle Tennessee | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Middle Tennessee | 12c | 95.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Middle Tennessee | 19c | 53.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentuckythis page
- Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 54.5Over won
- Spread: Western Kentucky (-13.5)Western Kentucky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.