Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Xinxin Yao vs Yufei Ren
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcefd7e1644722a037a1b79741832f5c49cf3c4bbdf5ce9e3ee42d96d86f3c5d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xinxin Yaoof Xinxin Yao, Yufei Ren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Xinxin Yao | 66c | 9,014$5,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.53 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yufei Ren | 33c | 7,481$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.41 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Xinxin Yao | 60c | 2,754$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.94 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Yufei Ren | 54c | 2,359$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.02 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Xinxin Yao | 61c | 1,961$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.87 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yufei Ren | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…93c7backed Yufei Ren | 47c | 736.8$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.22 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Xinxin Yao | 71c | 657.6$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.6 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yufei Ren | 41c | 488$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yufei Ren | 34c | 487.69$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.83 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Xinxin Yao | 46c | 467.39$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.39 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yufei Ren | 41c | 455.68$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.83 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xinxin Yao | 57c | 429.05$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.98 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Xinxin Yao | 47c | 426.81$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.74 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Xinxin Yao | 46c | 371$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Xinxin Yao | 54c | 345.21$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.65 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yufei Ren | 30c | 328$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Xinxin Yao | 44c | 320.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.64 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Xinxin Yao | 68c | 315.47$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yufei Ren | 25c | 292.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Xinxin Yao | 62c | 282.59$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Yufei Ren | 50c | 236.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.76 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yufei Ren | 35c | 223.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Xinxin Yao | 65c | 200.87$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…53cdbacked Xinxin Yao | 64c | 179.83$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Xinxin Yao | 59c | 176.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Xinxin Yao | 46c | 172.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Yufei Ren | 30c | 166.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Xinxin Yao | 54c | 157.88$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…e91abacked Yufei Ren | 34c | 146.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Xinxin Yao | 51c | 132.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Xinxin Yao | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yufei Ren | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Xinxin Yao | 64c | 117.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yufei Ren | 37c | 113.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Yufei Ren | 51c | 113.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Xinxin Yao | 63c | 112.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yufei Ren | 44c | 102.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…672bbacked Xinxin Yao | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Xinxin Yao | 50c | 98.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Xinxin Yao | 68c | 95.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Xinxin Yao | 60c | 92.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092a…8577backed Yufei Ren | 55c | 90.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Xinxin Yao | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Xinxin Yao | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Xinxin Yao | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Xinxin Yao | 60c | 71.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Xinxin Yao | 67c | 68.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa888…e98cbacked Xinxin Yao | 63c | 64.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 164 | 59.1%97 W · 67 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Xinxin Yao | 66c | 63.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Yufei Ren | 37c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Xinxin Yao | 62c | 60.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Yufei Ren | 51c | 56.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Yufei Ren | 36c | 55.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Xinxin Yao | 62c | 54.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Xinxin Yao | 70c | 52.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xinxin Yao | 47c | 52.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yufei Ren | 36c | 51.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 391 | 54.2%212 W · 179 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Xinxin Yao | 61c | 50.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Xinxin Yao | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Yufei Ren | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 102 | 64.7%66 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Yufei Ren | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yufei Ren | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xinxin Yao | 55c | 33.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Yufei Ren | 32c | 32.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Xinxin Yao | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Xinxin Yao | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Xinxin Yao | 68c | 29.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19a3…ad8cbacked Xinxin Yao | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Yufei Ren | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Xinxin Yao | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…b0ecbacked Xinxin Yao | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 127 | 34.6%44 W · 83 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Xinxin Yao | 69c | 21.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Yufei Ren | 52c | 21.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Xinxin Yao | 69c | 21.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Xinxin Yao | 47c | 21.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…142ebacked Xinxin Yao | 76c | 20.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 49 | 79.6%39 W · 10 L | +8.9wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Xinxin Yao | 65c | 18.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Xinxin Yao | 62c | 16.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.