Premier League · resolved market
Coventry City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf36907a9bac7a3fd421885f331506a205cbeda316453d004e5446eadbfd6d84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 29c | 6,213$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.83 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 68c | 5,373$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.53 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 4,122$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.02 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Under | 50c | 1,341$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 4c | 700$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…e02abacked Over | 62c | 561.82$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 40c | 389.01$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 382.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.35 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 19c | 308$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked Under | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 69c | 229.72$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 33c | 169.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…35d7backed Under | 29c | 148.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 49c | 118.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 39c | 63.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Over | 71c | 44.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 50c | 32.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 72c | 26.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coventry City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coventry City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Coventry City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.