Lol · resolved market
LoL: Deer Gaming vs LEO (BO1) - NLC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf3bdf479e31addf0d920776325a8759c37e977d8ccd16d84bb8a7c9b319f5b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LEOof Deer Gaming, LEO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Deer Gaming | 15c | 1,871$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed LEO | 54c | 1,590$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.91 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…efc2backed Deer Gaming | 76c | 606.95$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.4 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed LEO | 41c | 600.85$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.61 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Deer Gaming | 2c | 585.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LEO | 51c | 550.66$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.62 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Deer Gaming | 63c | 317.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.44 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Deer Gaming | 32c | 264.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked LEO | 43c | 262.28$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed LEO | 47c | 217.01$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed LEO | 29c | 165.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.43 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Deer Gaming | 53c | 160.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Deer Gaming | 57c | 160.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked LEO | 49c | 135$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked LEO | 50c | 100.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 634 | 48.1%305 W · 329 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Deer Gaming | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed Deer Gaming | 24c | 95.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked LEO | 46c | 74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed LEO | 61c | 71.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed60…8d39backed LEO | 50c | 70.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Deer Gaming | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeba…3d1dbacked Deer Gaming | 57c | 62.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Deer Gaming | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Deer Gaming | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked Deer Gaming | 49c | 42.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed LEO | 64c | 42.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LEO | 32c | 42.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Deer Gaming | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Deer Gaming | 53c | 36.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked LEO | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Deer Gaming | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed LEO | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Deer Gaming | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Deer Gaming | 52c | 29.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked LEO | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Deer Gaming | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Deer Gaming | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed LEO | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Deer Gaming | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…b8bebacked Deer Gaming | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Deer Gaming | 72c | 14.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.