TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Howard Bison vs. Delaware State Hornets

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Howard Bisonof Howard Bison, Delaware State Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,777 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa0b…9672backed Delaware State Hornets14c19,848$2,780 inLost-$2,780.188517.6%15 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Delaware State Hornets15c8,378$1,223 inLost-$1,222.9889645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Delaware State Hornets15c1,377$207 inLost-$206.614037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Delaware State Hornets9c1,263$118 inLost-$117.952,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Delaware State Hornets14c1,179$165 inLost-$164.9616746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x708b…d1e5backed Delaware State Hornets15c975.98$146 inLost-$146.420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf6…aec0backed Delaware State Hornets14c714.29$100 inLost-$100425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Delaware State Hornets15c554.73$86 inLost-$85.9481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Delaware State Hornets13c380$49 inLost-$49.41238.1%10 W · 113 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd26…44c4backed Delaware State Hornets16c295$47 inLost-$47.220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73aa…d1acbacked Delaware State Hornets14c269.98$38 inLost-$37.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Delaware State Hornets16c250$39 inLost-$392,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Delaware State Hornets14c178.57$25 inLost-$2510736.4%39 W · 68 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Delaware State Hornets16c158.13$25 inLost-$25.337835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Delaware State Hornets16c150$24 inLost-$2423948.1%115 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc671…3f87backed Delaware State Hornets14c142.86$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5087…df39backed Delaware State Hornets14c109.07$15 inLost-$15.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Delaware State Hornets12c100.17$12 inLost-$12.278641.9%36 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Delaware State Hornets15c100$15 inLost-$151,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Delaware State Hornets15c100$15 inLost-$1531537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Delaware State Hornets14c100$14 inLost-$1438837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.