Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Howard Bison (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe977f4280e57c5dc6447984ec1736103a1ffcf447527325ec3fb33adec19413e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Howard Bisonof Howard Bison, Delaware State Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Howard Bison | 49c | 2,689$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.52 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Delaware State Hornets | 51c | 2,040$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.4 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Howard Bison | 49c | 1,814$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.86 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Delaware State Hornets | 51c | 1,023$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.78 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Howard Bison | 48c | 631$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.67 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Delaware State Hornets | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Delaware State Hornets | 55c | 519.84$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.91 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Delaware State Hornets | 51c | 440$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.41 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Delaware State Hornets | 55c | 309.09$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Delaware State Hornets | 54c | 308.91$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.81 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Delaware State Hornets | 51c | 280.78$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.67 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Howard Bison | 46c | 104$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Delaware State Hornets | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Delaware State Hornets | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Howard Bison | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Howard Bison | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Howard Bison | 46c | 55.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Howard Bison | 46c | 53.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Howard Bison | 51c | 50.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Howard Bison | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Howard Bison | 45c | 39.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Howard Bison | 50c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Howard Bison | 49c | 28.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Howard Bison | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Delaware State Hornets | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Howard Bison (-11.5)this page
- Howard Bison vs. Delaware State HornetsHoward Bison won
- Howard Bison vs. Delaware State Hornets: O/U 130.5Over won
- Howard Bison vs. Delaware State Hornets: O/U 131.5Over won
- Spread: Howard Bison (-10.5)Howard Bison won
- Spread: Howard Bison (-12.5)Howard Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.