Tennis · resolved market
Todi: Nicolas Kicker vs Maxim Mrva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfaa19dc481378e917ac9b2068d0100187bb953288d76851e45f2868fde5d88c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maxim Mrvaof Nicolas Kicker, Maxim Mrva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maxim Mrva | 68c | 2,602$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Nicolas Kicker | 31c | 2,581$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…841dbacked Nicolas Kicker | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Nicolas Kicker | 12c | 775$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Nicolas Kicker | 36c | 617.75$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.39 | 415 | 35.4%147 W · 268 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Nicolas Kicker | 36c | 579$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.44 | 1,371 | 38.3%525 W · 846 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nicolas Kicker | 20c | 576.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.09 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Nicolas Kicker | 4c | 565.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 417 | 48.2%201 W · 216 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Nicolas Kicker | 36c | 491.62$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.07 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Maxim Mrva | 63c | 416.26$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Maxim Mrva | 78c | 387.3$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Nicolas Kicker | 6c | 350.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Maxim Mrva | 67c | 343.47$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.47 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Nicolas Kicker | 38c | 342.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Maxim Mrva | 64c | 331.85$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.96 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Maxim Mrva | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Nicolas Kicker | 22c | 299.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Nicolas Kicker | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -12.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Nicolas Kicker | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…6735backed Nicolas Kicker | 36c | 270.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…203fbacked Nicolas Kicker | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Nicolas Kicker | 36c | 270.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed Nicolas Kicker | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…a375backed Nicolas Kicker | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Nicolas Kicker | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…e73fbacked Nicolas Kicker | 36c | 270.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maxim Mrva | 63c | 210.96$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nicolas Kicker | 37c | 191.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Maxim Mrva | 65c | 190.05$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…fbb3backed Nicolas Kicker | 29c | 122.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Nicolas Kicker | 36c | 121.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Nicolas Kicker | 21c | 112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Nicolas Kicker | 36c | 111.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Nicolas Kicker | 20c | 106.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Nicolas Kicker | 20c | 100.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Nicolas Kicker | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 954 | 45.5%434 W · 520 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Maxim Mrva | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nicolas Kicker | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Nicolas Kicker | 36c | 99.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 1,425 | 55.1%785 W · 640 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Maxim Mrva | 62c | 98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 860 | 50.1%431 W · 429 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Maxim Mrva | 78c | 69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…f972backed Nicolas Kicker | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Maxim Mrva | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Nicolas Kicker | 38c | 59.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Maxim Mrva | 63c | 58.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 309 | 69.6%215 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Nicolas Kicker | 23c | 54.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Maxim Mrva | 64c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 375 | 58.1%218 W · 157 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nicolas Kicker | 36c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Maxim Mrva | 71c | 39.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…fc38backed Nicolas Kicker | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Nicolas Kicker | 36c | 32.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…9090backed Nicolas Kicker | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Maxim Mrva | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Maxim Mrva | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Maxim Mrva | 70c | 17.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.