Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Yecong Mo vs Daniil Sarksian
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfda40e5437ffa2771848d6acbb452289719a7993c8204f97ba3259389911e7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniil Sarksianof Yecong Mo, Daniil Sarksian
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e93…9145backed Daniil Sarksian | 14c | 714.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.71 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Daniil Sarksian | 31c | 599.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Daniil Sarksian | 48c | 450.68$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.58 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yecong Mo | 53c | 427.11$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.74 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Daniil Sarksian | 9c | 260.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.25 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yecong Mo | 5c | 258$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Daniil Sarksian | 7c | 214.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.28 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a9…af78backed Yecong Mo | 13c | 138.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 20cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Daniil Sarksian | 36c | 137.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Yecong Mo | 65c | 91.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Daniil Sarksian | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yecong Mo | 68c | 82.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…ee81backed Yecong Mo | 13c | 82.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Daniil Sarksian | 35c | 78.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yecong Mo | 49c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Daniil Sarksian | 31c | 37.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…e893backed Daniil Sarksian | 35c | 30.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yecong Mo | 69c | 25.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yecong Mo | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Yecong Mo | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yecong Mo | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Yecong Mo | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.