Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd00bed75e1a796ddb0325e30eb9c1393079b325ebba5921e7cd1bc7625cf18a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 35c | 2,950$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.72 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 1,042$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.64 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 64c | 659.33$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.67 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 65c | 580.64$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.52 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 63c | 233.39$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Yes | 67c | 149.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 62c | 116.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Yes | 65c | 107.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 34c | 73.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 66c | 34.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Yes | 64c | 19.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.