CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: EAC Rising vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd043b56428c104e101cdbec5294f1113eb3a35d48ee46c5b7dbb41d579b03f0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EAC Risingof EAC Rising, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked EAC Rising | 61c | 3,249$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.63 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…47d2backed EAC Rising | 40c | 2,128$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.56 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports | 56c | 2,086$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.94 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed EAC Rising | 66c | 1,161$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.61 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked EAC Rising | 54c | 1,084$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.77 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports | 33c | 965.28$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.46 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed Misa Esports | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +183%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…a837backed Misa Esports | 30c | 600$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed Misa Esports | 50c | 569.75$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.88 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 490.86$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.53 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Misa Esports | 29c | 463$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Misa Esports | 56c | 408.07$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed EAC Rising | 48c | 405.68$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.82 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed EAC Rising | 48c | 404.21$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.53 | 208 | 59.1%123 W · 85 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 27c | 346.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Misa Esports | 51c | 327.9$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.71 | 247 | 40.9%101 W · 146 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadd…e3d7backed Misa Esports | 52c | 321.31$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.57 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…76c6backed Misa Esports | 16c | 307.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed EAC Rising | 71c | 291.48$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Misa Esports | 30c | 288$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed EAC Rising | 73c | 268.26$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 450 | 65.6%295 W · 155 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Misa Esports | 30c | 267$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports | 36c | 260.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Misa Esports | 43c | 227.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Misa Esports | 29c | 208$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed EAC Rising | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Misa Esports | 56c | 197$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…021ebacked Misa Esports | 23c | 190.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Misa Esports | 28c | 178$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked EAC Rising | 63c | 174.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Misa Esports | 26c | 173$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Misa Esports | 34c | 146$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…e18fbacked Misa Esports | 31c | 122.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Misa Esports | 51c | 116$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed EAC Rising | 53c | 114.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Misa Esports | 51c | 113$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 1,314 | 44.3%582 W · 732 L | +47.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Misa Esports | 34c | 106.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked EAC Rising | 41c | 99.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 721 | 53.7%387 W · 334 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Misa Esports | 59c | 94.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked Misa Esports | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d67…3ba9backed Misa Esports | 26c | 75.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Misa Esports | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 716 | 51%365 W · 351 L | +28.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Misa Esports | 56c | 66.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…a6d3backed EAC Rising | 47c | 59.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…285dbacked Misa Esports | 54c | 52.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Misa Esports | 39c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Misa Esports | 59c | 48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Misa Esports | 57c | 39.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked EAC Rising | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…4f6ebacked Misa Esports | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Misa Esports | 55c | 30.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…b7b1backed Misa Esports | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…5b64backed Misa Esports | 36c | 28.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed EAC Rising | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 409 | 71.9%294 W · 115 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Misa Esports | 60c | 27.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Misa Esports | 59c | 22.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6635backed Misa Esports | 59c | 20.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked EAC Rising | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 651 | 49%319 W · 332 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: EAC Rising vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: EAC Rising vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsEAC Rising won
- Counter-Strike: EAC Rising vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.