Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hillcrest: Khololwam Montsi vs Henry Jefferson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd081aeb0f0aff30c8a718a74bc3d6c1312003553c488aaceadc423a4778e48e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Khololwam Montsiof Khololwam Montsi, Henry Jefferson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Khololwam Montsi | 78c | 2,569$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.93 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Henry Jefferson | 41c | 1,426$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.63 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Khololwam Montsi | 60c | 1,200$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.99 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…bd78backed Henry Jefferson | 32c | 672.97$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Henry Jefferson | 22c | 645.86$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Henry Jefferson | 9c | 430.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Henry Jefferson | 6c | 338.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Henry Jefferson | 45c | 292.52$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.86 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Henry Jefferson | 13c | 263.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Henry Jefferson | 18c | 248.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…e2bdbacked Henry Jefferson | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Henry Jefferson | 14c | 157.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Henry Jefferson | 22c | 124.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Khololwam Montsi | 76c | 79.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Henry Jefferson | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…f2f8backed Khololwam Montsi | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Henry Jefferson | 39c | 33.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Khololwam Montsi | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Khololwam Montsi | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Khololwam Montsi | 75c | 14.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.