Cricket · resolved market
Will the England vs. India match end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd09397e200c99c2c1ecbc33d3bdb864fb82ecd8dcafce13395af2ca864e4a7be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 17c | 61,242$10,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,274.46 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…022dbacked Yes | 21c | 24,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Yes | 22c | 649.65$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 20c | 555$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 55c | 540.86$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.19 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes | 5c | 410$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d8…e57abacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 23c | 202.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0641…1985backed Yes | 19c | 102$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…8f10backed No | 67c | 65.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…0066backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…3045backed Yes | 24c | 45.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc6…3bb9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…2021backed Yes | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…c030backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…7035backed Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the England vs. India match end in a draw?this page
- Will England win the match?Yes won
- Will India win the match?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.