Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd10dddc1967d80508c84a36856592f8b472a41b466a9e811b0e814432564dc79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 57c | 7,149$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.43 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 2,027$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.26 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 1,633$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.88 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 15c | 1,249$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.93 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 80c | 275$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 5c | 224.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 59c | 174.8$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 66c | 149.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 118.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 44c | 113.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 44c | 58.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 47.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 54c | 46.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 59c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…785abacked Over | 56c | 23.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Southampton FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Southampton FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.