La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd11c25714e060bbc2d1f7896c733f9f4c1c5d8bcc3f6cc62b0b0e52ce4572c8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 1,142$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.45 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 41c | 501.93$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.89 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Yes | 42c | 478.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 58c | 378.57$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 33c | 348.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.86 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Yes | 43c | 234.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 59c | 204.6$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 238 | 43.3%103 W · 135 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 57c | 156.37$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Yes | 40c | 124.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed Yes | 45c | 109.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 82.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…9886backed Yes | 43c | 39.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.