CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs BESTIA (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1558db179b7a442758750c46f04e92dfd74bd354d208dd519125a2cd313930f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 1,853$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.09 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 1,210$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.28 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed BESTIA | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed BESTIA | 34c | 873.52$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA | 34c | 793.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.95 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed BESTIA | 22c | 599.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed BESTIA | 45c | 557.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BESTIA | 45c | 476$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed BESTIA | 39c | 206.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed BESTIA | 34c | 194$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed BESTIA | 34c | 163.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed BESTIA | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed BESTIA | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca27…cac8backed BESTIA | 16c | 126.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed BESTIA | 21c | 63.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…87a6backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 117 | 67.5%79 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked 100 Thieves | 78c | 58.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 47.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…6fadbacked BESTIA | 43c | 36.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…0fd6backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs BESTIA (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.