CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd15b88c45980ec738f618b73862bc1e7ff7f20875b02f30caa515560e3718fa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 1,032$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.75 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Walczaki | 31c | 849.98$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.6 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 265.24$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…f6febacked Walczaki | 47c | 213.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 161.18$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…f557backed Walczaki | 32c | 157$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 147.74$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Walczaki | 35c | 109.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki | 23c | 94.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Walczaki | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Walczaki | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed Walczaki | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa39…ceb7backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 74.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Walczaki | 31c | 71.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Walczaki | 34c | 61.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 52.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki | 26c | 51.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…746bbacked Walczaki | 33c | 44.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Walczaki | 57c | 44.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Walczaki | 35c | 35.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Walczaki | 52c | 29.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Walczaki | 42c | 29.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 27.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 24.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Walczaki | 52c | 24.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked Team Nemesis | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Walczaki - Map 2 WinnerWalczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.