Tennis · resolved market
Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Maximo Zeitune
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd180bdd9a148497117ccd8dc9748dc0a5583b3fec6748989d24b5143a486269e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hugo Dellienof Hugo Dellien, Maximo Zeitune
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4699…5051backed Maximo Zeitune | 6c | 4,177$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.32 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Maximo Zeitune | 3c | 1,549$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Maximo Zeitune | 9c | 927.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Maximo Zeitune | 11c | 663.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed Maximo Zeitune | 3c | 584.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e4…7310backed Maximo Zeitune | 17c | 540.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Maximo Zeitune | 8c | 509.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Maximo Zeitune | 12c | 410.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Maximo Zeitune | 4c | 408.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…2872backed Maximo Zeitune | 11c | 401.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Maximo Zeitune | 6c | 398.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Maximo Zeitune | 7c | 289.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Maximo Zeitune | 12c | 238.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Maximo Zeitune | 10c | 229.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Maximo Zeitune | 11c | 215.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Maximo Zeitune | 15c | 191.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Maximo Zeitune | 16c | 176$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…abe7backed Maximo Zeitune | 9c | 172.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Maximo Zeitune | 12c | 165.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Maximo Zeitune | 10c | 134.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6031…de1ebacked Maximo Zeitune | 13c | 99.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Maximo Zeitune | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…3f92backed Hugo Dellien | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 224 | 82.6%185 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 80cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.