Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1cb16e9d998fad627590f43cb2f5586f4139fa16fa8081d423cd6a574c0bfe2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof L1ga Team, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked L1ga Team | 41c | 2,049$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.3 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc5…197fbacked Power Rangers | 62c | 1,616$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed Power Rangers | 64c | 1,579$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Power Rangers | 77c | 1,307$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.92 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed L1ga Team | 23c | 800$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed L1ga Team | 15c | 600$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed L1ga Team | 13c | 480.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed L1ga Team | 37c | 428.84$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.55 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Power Rangers | 71c | 415$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed L1ga Team | 18c | 340.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed L1ga Team | 51c | 325$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.45 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…dc5abacked L1ga Team | 20c | 322.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.45per pick | 25cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked L1ga Team | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed L1ga Team | 73c | 243.75$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.88 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…c092backed L1ga Team | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 39c | 190$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 50c | 168.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Power Rangers | 30c | 159.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.56 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Power Rangers | 61c | 150.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Power Rangers | 27c | 139.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Power Rangers | 36c | 118$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed L1ga Team | 20c | 75.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed L1ga Team | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 12cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Power Rangers | 37c | 42.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed L1ga Team | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers (BO3) - CCT Series 7 PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.